The Political Pendulum

Posts Tagged ‘GOP


Why else would she refuse to reveal her medical records?


LAKEWOOD, Ohio (CNN) – With less than 24 hours to go before the presidential election, Sarah Palin still has not released her medical records and there is no indication the campaign is planning to do so.

Two weeks ago, Palin’s campaign told several reporters traveling with the campaign that a summary of the governor’s medical history would be made public before election day.

Reporters were told that details on Palin’s medical background would be released early last week. Last Thursday, after that timeframe had passed, a campaign aide backed off the previous pledge, saying the campaign wasn’t sure when the information would be released.

John McCain, Barack Obama and Joseph Biden have all provided details about their medical history.

McCain wasn’t as shaky as I thought he would be, but he didn’t outline a vision.  Cutting spending and reducing taxes isn’t a vision, it’s a gimmick.  His stop all spending, with the exception of defense, veterans, and entitlement programs, seemed impulsive and rash.  He clearly doesn’t understand the focus of concern in the war on terror.  He seems to perceive, Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Iran as distractions to the war on Iraq when it is actually the other way round.  McCain held his own, but he was supposed to crush Obama because of his knowledge of international affairs.  Obama conceded too many points and should have gone after the surge issue, by stating that McCain was in Iraq saying how peaceful and wonderful things were six months before the surge started.  If this was the case, why the surge?  I could nit-pick all night.

There is red meat in McCains performance for his base, but Obama resonated more with the electorate as somebody with a vision for the future.

The Guardian:

White women voters are deserting the Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama because of the sudden emergence on the Republican ticket of Sarah Palin, according to a poll yesterday.

An ABC/Washington Post survey recorded that an eight-point lead Obama held over his Republican rival John McCain before the arrival of Palin had turned into a 12% lead for McCain.

The trend is in line with other polls since McCain’s vice-presidential running mate ignited the Republican convention with a speech last week espousing social conservative values and presenting herself as a small-town mother taking on the cosmopolitan media.

McCain has taken a 3% lead in a tracking poll by the RealClearPolitics website.

Look, I don’t want to be an I-told-you-so, but Obama the campaign should have been able to predict a move like this.  It is way too early to panic about the polls, but Obama needs to unleash the 527’s and let them start picking the fleas off of the McCain/Pain dog.  Obama needs to go after McCain’s voting record of intolerance and blow it out of proportion like the McSame camp are doing.  We’re not throwing punches, we are dodging them. McSame’s well documented intemperance should also be on the table.  Obama has let go of the class aspect with McSame/Pain’s 14 houses between them.   Biden has been ineffective and seems to be keeping his head too low.  Biden is a good man, but I was skeptical of the Obama/Biden ticket and hurt that Hillary was not included.  It looks like dumb American women are willing to give up the potential of peace and prosperity because they like the term “hockey mom” or buy the “Thanks, but. no thanks” lies.  If Hillary had been out there with Obama, Bill Clinton would have been able to absorb and deflect a lot of controversy.  Now, after the way Obama campaigned against Hillary, it might be a bit too much to ask her to to take a few bullets for Obama.

On another note the polling data that is being floated out there is very skewed.  CNN?Gallup have confirmed that they are oversampling Republicans to make up for the rise in Democrat voter registration.  We are also starting to see some stabilization in the McCain bounce polling numbers.

This is one video you want to watch!


From TNC:

Oh, and don’t even get me started on how “the ‘liberal’ media is attacking Sarah Palin’s personal life.” And don’t tell me her personal life should be off-limits in the first place. Because it seems only the embarrassing aspects of her life are off limits. And nothing was ever off limits for the Clintons.

C & L:

From the kids at the Daily Kos:

McCain Bounce Continues

Sat Sep 06, 2008 at 02:20:42 PM PDT

Rasmussen:  There was a +5 swing for Obama last week and a +2 for McCain this week if one compares day-to-day-to-day. The maximum Obama Rasmussen bounce wasn’t seen until four days later (this Tuesday).

Numbers are Sat (Fri) (Thurs) (Wed). Compare last week, the Saturday after the Dem convention.

Rep Convention
Obama   49 (48) (50) (50)
McCain  46 (46) (45) (45)

Dem Convention
Obama   49 (49) (47) (46)
McCain  45 (45) (47) (47)

Gallup: By last Saturday, Obama was holding up +7 from the 45-44 the Tues prior. This week, McCain is so far +4 from the Wed prior. The maximum Gallup for Obama was 5 days later (this Wed).

Rep Convention
Obama   47 (48) (49) (49)
McCain  45 (44) (42) (43)

Dem Convention
Obama  49 (49) (48) (45)
McCain 41 (41) (42) (44)

All polling now includes at least two days of both the Sarah Palin speech and one day of the John McCain snoozer. Although relatively meaningless, at this point Obama is doing three bounce points better than McCain (and so far that’s the story of this election.) In that sense, virtually no polls have shown Sarah Palin to be a game changer in how people plan to vote, consistent with traditional VP picks. They can hurt, but don’t tend to help. In Palin’s case, this seems to be a reaction sparking an equal reaction.


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